The Current Shape of Irish Golfers on the Biggest Stage in 2026
Ireland punches far above its weight in the upper echelons of professional golf. With the season’s majors having now come to a close, Rory McIlroy continues to dominate the headlines and the latest golf betting odds.
The story of Irish golf extends much further than just this one generational talent, covering both the men’s and women’s games.
Rory McIlroy Remains the Unmovable Favourite
There was never much doubt going into the 2026 season about who is the top dog of Irish golf. Rory McIlroy finally ended his Masters drought in 2025 and looked like a man with a massive weight off his shoulders.
That confidence carried into the 2026 renewal at Augusta, where he claimed a successive green jacket. His major tally is now at six and he’s cemented his status as one of the best golfers in recent generations.
McIlroy’s name has dominated the betting odds at almost every event this year. The only person who has been ahead of him has been the ever-consistent Scottie Scheffler. They’re often both quoted at single-digit odds, offering little value to golf bettors.
Anytime that McIlroy tees up, people expect him to contend. Not many players on the tour offer his combination of pure talent, consistency, and being able to handle the weight of expectation.
Shane Lowry is the Everyman
Shane Lowry is still the beating heart of Irish golf. The 39-year-old has spent the last two seasons chasing another major title, tailoring his schedule to try to peak at the right times for the four biggest tournaments of the season.
It has been a largely frustrating 2026 for Lowry, who now hasn’t won solo since 2022 despite appearing near the top of leaderboards. This was at its starkest when he blew a great chance at the Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches in March, with two double bogeys in his final round costing him dearly.
He’s still a beloved figure following his 2025 Ryder Cup heroics and his hole-in-one at the 2026 Masters kept his name in the headlines. However, Lowry knows that time is running out to add more major titles to his Open Championship title from 2019.
He often appears as an unhappy and frustrated figure on the course, with caddy changes not helping matters. Fans are hoping that he’ll be able to circle the wagons and come back in the 2027 major season and contend in all four events, as he certainly has the game when he’s on song.
Leona Maguire Leading the Women’s Charge
It’s not just the men who are operating at an extremely high level in professional golf. Leona Maguire is the standard bearer for Irish women’s golf, being one of the most accomplished players ever produced in the country.
The former world amateur number one made history as the first Irish woman to win an LPGA Tour event, doing so in 2022 and she also registered a win in 2024 on the Ladies European Tour.
Maguire’s 2026 season has been a little underwhelming, as the Cavan native struggled to deal with the LPGA Tour’s move to longer and firmer setups that places a big premium on being long off the tee, which isn’t the 31-year-old’s forte. She has been working hard with her coach Sean Foley to add extra distance and adjust her ball flight.
The early returns have been mixed, as she has missed more cuts than usual and nearly missed out on qualifying automatically for the US Women’s Open.
However, she will still rank high and she was a captain’s pick for the upcoming Solheim Cup, given her propensity for match play in particular. She’s the woman most likely to give Ireland a winner on the women’s side of the game and her name attracts major support anytime she tees up on the LPGA Tour.
Padraig Harrington Dominating the Seniors Scene
Now 54-years-old, the three-time major winner is thriving on the Champions Tour in the US. He defended his US Senior Open title in Holt, beating Stewart Cink by a commanding four shots.
He became one of just four players to manage this back-to-back feat, and matched the record for three title wins. It was his fifth consecutive season with a win on the circuit. He’s still behind Stewart Cink and Zach Johnson on the season-long money list.
Seamus Power Trying to Bounce Back
The 39-year-old Waterford native started 2026 on conditional status on the PGA Tour and has been trying to chase a full card. His putting started to turn the corner and he registered 2 top 10s during the year, but this wasn’t enough to secure a full card for 2027.
Power finished in 114th place in the FedEx Cup standings, which means that he will once again be on conditional status.
The two-time tour winner will only get into full-field PGA Tour events if the field isn’t filled by fully exempt members. He does have full status on the Korn Ferry Tour where he could choose to play next season and to finish in the top 20 of the points list to get a PGA Tour card for 2027.
A Comeback for McKibbin?
Finally, one of the hottest prospects in Northern Irish golf was Tom McKibbin, before he signed for the LIV Golf Tour. He’s still just 23 and with LIV on the descent, it will be interesting to see where he ends up playing in 2027.
McKibbin confirmed recently that he still has several years left on his deal, although there are a lot of questions about how the LIV Golf league will look next year. He had a poor 2026, only making the top 20 a couple of times in LIV Golf and missing the cut in his first US Masters.
He intends to play as much as possible in the European scene, including the British Masters and the Irish Open in the coming weeks.
A year is a long time in golf, as players can come in and out of form multiple times during that stretch. It’s hard to know how Irish golfers will fare next year but there’s plenty of action to follow across the men’s and women’s games.
Ireland’s new gambling regulator has already started changing how golf bets get placed
Somewhere around the 14th tee on the final Sunday of the Irish Open, a phone buzzes with an odds update, and someone at the bar remembers they still have a tenner each-way on Shane Lowry. It’s a small, familiar ritual for Irish sports fans, the same one that plays out on GAA county final Sunday, just with a leaderboard instead of a scoreboard. What’s changed this year is what sits behind that bet. That something is the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Ireland, or GRAI, the State’s first dedicated gambling watchdog. It was established under the Gambling Regulation Act 2024 and has been operational since March 2025. Ireland had regulated betting shops and casinos through a patchwork of laws dating back to the 1930s. Replacing all of it with one authority is not a small shift, and it’s one most punters have barely noticed yet.
A licensing system built from scratch
GRAI’s job is to license and police every gambling activity in the State, covering betting, gaming and lotteries under a single framework for the first time. It started accepting licence applications in February 2026, beginning with betting operators, which covers the sportsbooks Irish golf fans already use for major-championship markets. Online casino licences are being phased in separately, with applications expected to open during 2027. Until that category exists, casino sites serving Irish players continue operating under transitional arrangements, typically holding licences from established regulators such as Malta’s MGA or the UK Gambling Commission instead.
What the numbers say about Irish betting habits
Ireland’s own research backs up how normal a flutter on a big sporting weekend actually is. The Health Research Board’s most recent national gambling survey found that 49% of people aged 15 and over had gambled in the twelve months before the survey, and that sports betting was the dominant activity among anyone using a bookmaker’s shop or an online betting account. Golf’s share of that spikes hard around the majors and the Irish Open, and climbs further whenever an Irish player is in genuine contention. With Rory McIlroy, Lowry, Séamus Power and Tom McKibbin all active on tour, that’s been most years lately. Part of golf’s appeal to newer bettors is structural rather than sentimental. As Golfnet has explained before, a golfer’s result depends on individual form rather than eleven other variables on a pitch, and each-way and top-finish markets give a four-day tournament room to develop instead of settling in ninety minutes. That’s exactly the kind of market a first-time bettor tends to try during Ryder Cup or major-championship week, which is why regulation aimed at newer and occasional bettors matters here as much as it does for the shops taking bets on Saturday football.
The safeguards arriving alongside the licences
The practical changes rolling out under GRAI are specific rather than symbolic:
A National Gambling Exclusion Register, letting a person self-exclude from every licensed site at once rather than site by site
Mandatory identity and anti-money-laundering checks confirming every account holder is over 18
A ban on credit card deposits, with only debit cards and e-wallets accepted
Stake and win limits on certain casino-style games once that licence category takes effect
Restricted advertising hours for TV and radio gambling ads, between 9pm and 5.30am
Enforcement has real weight behind it too. GRAI can fine operators up to €20 million or 10% of turnover, whichever is greater, and can seek court orders to shut down sites operating without a licence.
Golf’s tournament calendar keeps the pressure on
It’s not a quiet year for Irish golf. The Amgen Irish Open returns to Trump International Doonbeg in September, and Adare Manor hosts the Ryder Cup in 2027, Ireland’s second time hosting the event since The K Club in 2006. Both draw the kind of betting volume that made this year’s US Open a useful test case for how Irish golf fans back their own. McIlroy, Lowry, Harrington, Power and McKibbin all attracted interest from bettors who’d never opened a betting app before a major week. That same surge in casual interest tends to spill over into other forms of online gambling once the tournament ends for the day, which is one reason the licensing overhaul reaches further than sportsbooks. Anyone curious how the shift is playing out on the casino side, ahead of GRAI’s own remote gaming category opening, can compare licensed Irish online casinos to check which operators hold recognised licences and how their terms stack up while the framework is still being built out. Whatever the regulatory calendar looks like by 2027, the arithmetic of a tenner each-way on a major Sunday won’t change. What does change is that the operator taking that bet now answers to a regulator with real enforcement teeth, rather than a system that had gone largely untouched since before the State existed in its current form. The usual responsible-gambling advice still applies regardless of the game or the licence behind it: only bet what you can afford to lose, and Gambling Care Ireland is there if a flutter ever stops being fun.
The Irish Open Has Golf Fans Getting Hyped
The Irish Open is quickly approaching, and golf fans in Ireland, Europe, and the world over are getting hyped for what promises to be a great competition. County Clare will soon play host to a veritable who’s who of international golf talent, vying for prestige and a share of the $6 million USD purse.
As of the writing of this article, we are less than a month away from the 2026 Amgen Irish Open, one of the biggest golf tournaments in Europe. From 10-13 September, a host of golfers will descend on Trump International Golf Links in Doonbeg, in County Clare on Ireland’s west coast. These golfers will be vying for both prestige and a share of the $6 million USD purse being offered for the tournament. The competition should be fierce, dramatic, and interesting.
This year’s Irish Open has a nice meaty prize purse, a field of talent that is rarely seen outside of the major golf tournaments, and a nice scattering of Ryder Cup stars competing as well.
Let’s take a closer look at some of the details for this upcoming golf tournament, from the location to some of the stars and prize pool.
A Stunning Location With Beautiful Scenery
The Irish Open is known to wander, year on year, to different courses across Ireland, having visited a large number of famous golf courses throughout its time. This year, the tournament will take place in County Clare, part of Ireland’s Wild Atlantic Way, at Trump International Golf Links in Doonbeg.
The course will give golf fans everything they expect from a tournament and course of this kind:
Coastal winds.
Bunkers that prove challenging.
Ocean views to take your breath away.
Fairways that can be played at speed.
Rolling dunes.
Ireland’s west coast is replete with a number of excellent links golf courses, with about 20 different courses spread along that coast alone. One other notable course that hosted the Irish Open and is also located in County Clare is Lahinch, which was won in unforgettable fashion in 2019 by Jon Rahm, who will be returning for this Irish Open.
Many fans and bettors will be keeping their eyes on the weather, particularly those Atlantic winds. Shots that would be perfectly serviceable and by-the-numbers in calm weather can become problematic and impossible when the Atlantic winds flip the script on the players. This sort of unpredictability is why the Irish Open excites so many golf fans.
Rory McIlroy Intends to Defend His Title
One of the big stories for the 2026 Amgen Irish Open looks set to be Rory McIlroy and the defence of his 2025 title. Rory is currently one of the most famous and successful golfers in the world, is well loved in Ireland, and has often talked about how much joy performing in front of local Irish fans brings him.
Rory is known for keeping fans on the edge and making his wins dramatic, as he did at The K Club in 2025 in County Kildare. While it’s unlikely he’ll attempt to force another playoff, Irish golf fans will be watching his performance with bated breath.
The creativity, power, course management and experience with links conditions that Rory brings all position him to be more than a contender. He is currently trending as one of the best-odds holding favourites for the tournament.
Jon Rahm Has More Than An Outside Shot
Two-time champion Jon Rahm is another massive draw for the crowds heading to Clare this September. The Spaniard has an exceptional track record on Irish soil, having dominated the field at Portstewart in 2017 before producing a final-round masterclass to take the title at nearby Lahinch in 2019. Rahm’s aggressive, direct approach perfectly suits the gruelling nature of links setups, where grinding out a score in high winds is an absolute necessity.
With crucial Ryder Cup qualification points on his mind, he arrives at Doonbeg with plenty of motivation to secure a third national title. Because his game holds up so well when the coastal weather turns volatile, he is consistently heavily backed by fans checking the form guides and betting online in Ireland ahead of the opening tee shot. For anyone keeping an eye on the outright markets, it is easy to see why he remains one of the standout contenders to challenge McIlroy on Sunday afternoon.
A Host of Talented Players
We would be remiss if we didn’t mention some of the other impressive names that are already confirmed to be taking part in the Amgen 2026 Irish Open. We’ve mentioned Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, but they are just two stars amongst the veritable constellation that will descend on County Clare in mid-September. Many Ryder Cup stars will be attending, and the field will be a high-skilled one, with players such as:
Shane Lowry
Tyrrell Hatton
Rasmus Højgaard
Nicolai Højgaard
Luke Donald
Pádraig Harrington
Séamus Power
Tom McKibbin
More high-quality golfers means more of a spectacle for international and local fans. A number of Ireland’s most beloved golfers will be in attendance, such as Shane Lowry, Rory McIlroy and Pádraig Harrington, but it seems likely that local fans will share the love equally.
Some of the players are veterans, with storied pasts and well-known form, while others are looking for more opportunities to prove themselves and solidify their reputations as world-class golfers.
A Large Prize Pool Heightens the Action
While for most professional golfers, especially for those who have already got a few tournament wins under their belts, money isn’t the main draw, a big prize pool is still good. Interestingly enough, the bigger the prize pool, the more prestigious the tournament is typically considered to be.
With that in mind, the $6 million USD purse for this year’s Irish Open makes it one of the highest prize pool events on the DP World Tour, outside of the major championships.
Why Golf Is an Ideal Sport for Beginner Sports Betting
Golf is an ideal sport for those with no betting experience because it simplifies predictions to individual matchups, offers beginner-friendly bet types with lower risks and provides high-value odds since the large fields make favorites less guaranteed. By isolating performance to a single player, gold eliminates the unpredictable variables of team dynamics, making data collection and decision-making much simpler for beginners.
The world of sports betting can feel incredibly intimidating to a newcomer. Stepping into any Irish bookmaker or online sportsbook, you would immediately be bombarded with a chaotic wall of numbers, fractional odds, point spreads and confusing terminology.
For many years, those wishing to try their hand at sports betting have tended to naturally gravitate toward the more popular choices like football, rugby or horse racing, but these traditional markets typically come with steep learning curves, unpredictable team dynamics and tight profit margins.
Novices looking for a more methodical, logical and highly rewarding way to bet on sports might find that golf stands a cut above the rest. Gold betting removes the frantic complexity of traditional team sport and replaces it with clean statistics, individual accountability and an unmatched level of entertainment value.
The Power of Individual Performance Betting
The greatest hurdle faced by beginner bettors when it comes to sports like rugby or football is the sheer volume of unpredictable variables involved. A star striker might injure themselves during warmups, a referee could issue a controversial red card in the fifth minute or a manager might use a bizarre tactical formation that ruins your bet before the game even starts.
Golf eliminates all of these external variables because it’s a pure test of individual performance. Since a golfer either fails or succeeds based solely on their own merit, when you back a player, you’re betting strictly on their:
Mental stamina
Physical health
Technical skill
This isolated dynamic makes research incredibly manageable if you’re a beginner because you don’t need to worry about things like dressing room chemistry, payer transfers of complex coaching methods. You can simply focus on a specific player’s recent scorecards, health status and mental form to inform your betting decisions, making golf the perfect controlled environment for beginner bettors.
Unparalleled Entertainment Value For Money
Most bets in modern sports betting are settled quite quickly because a football game is 90 minutes long and a horse race is over in just a few minutes. This means that, if your selection loses early on, your financial stake immediately disappears along with your entertainment.
Golf works on a completely different timeline because a standard tournament on the PGA Tour or DP World Tour takes place over four days from Thursday morning to Sunday evening. This means that even a modest €10 bet on a golf player will buy you four consecutive days worth of betting action, complete with:
Live tracking
Dramatic momentum shifts
Elite television viewing
There is simply no other sport in the world that can offer you this same level of extended entertainment value per unit of currency. It gives beginners an opportunity to become more acquainted with the intricacies of live sport scoring and market fluctuations without having to reinvest more capital every hour.
The Benefits of Massive Plus-Money Odds
Backing your favorite in mainstream sport normally requires you to risk a substantial amount of money for a small potential margin of profit. For example, betting on one of the top Premier League teams at home would probably set you back €40 in stakes just to win a measly €10 return.
Stretched Odds
Since golf tournaments feature massive fields which frequently consist of 144 to 156 individual players, the odds are a lot more stretched out. Even the best payers in the world like Rory McIlroy or Scottie Scheffler will often enter into a tournament with their outright winner odds sitting at +800 to +1200.
More Return on Investment
This is an ideal scenario for a beginner because it means you don’t need to risk significant amounts of capital to see a meaningful return. A simple €5 or €10 bet placed on an elite player can offer you the potential of a substantial payout.
Even mid-tier players who are in great form can easily be found at odds of +4000 or +6000, offering life changing returns on minimal, low-risk stakes.
The potential of making a sizeable return on on a small investment makes golf betting feel less daunting for beginner sports bettors who aren’t quite yet comfortable enough to be taking massive financial risks.
Built-In Insurance Through Placement Betting
A lot of beginners avoid betting on golf because they think it’s impossible to try and pick a winner out of 156 players, but this would only be true if bet on the outright winner market. Thankfully, gold has some of the most forgiving, beginner-friendly alternative markets in the entire sports betting industry.
The most popular of these alternative markets is Placement Betting that allows you to bet on a player placing within the top players as opposed to praying they lift the cup on Sunday.
Many sportbooks offer relatively stable markets for:
Top 5 Finish
Top 10 Finish
Top 20 Finish
Betting on a player to finish in the top 20 feels a lot more promising than trying to guess who will be the ultimate winner, making these markets a great opton for beginners who are still gaining confidence in their betting decision-making.
Backing on a rising star to finish in the top 20 means that, even if they have a rocky final round and finish in 14th place, you still win your bet in full. This gives you a safety net that will prevent you from the frustration of the near misses effect which is often inherent in other sports betting markets.
Easing Your Way Into The Industry
Essentially, golf betting will teach you patience, which is the most vital rule of sports betting. Having to wait four days to learn the result of your bet will instill you with a habit of waiting it out, studying the data, and learning not to sweat the small stuff. And you’ll definitely have a lot of fun along the way.
The Open 2026 Predictions: Royal Birkdale Odds, Irish Hopes and Best Bets
The 154th Open returns to Royal Birkdale from 16 to 19 July 2026, and Scottie Scheffler is the man to beat at 9/2.
Rory McIlroy heads the home challenge at 7/1, with Shane Lowry a tempting each-way price at 33/1. Here are the favourites, the Irish angles, how the Southport links shapes the bet, and our picks. Odds quoted are from 24 June 2026 and will move.
The Essentials
Royal Birkdale hosts the 154th Open, its 11th time staging the championship. The Southport links last crowned a champion in 2017, when Jordan Spieth held off Matt Kuchar. Padraig Harrington won here in 2008. Here are the essentials before you place a bet.
Detail
Information
Dates
Thursday 16 to Sunday 19 July 2026
Venue
Royal Birkdale, Southport, England
Course
Par 70, 7,156 yards, links
Defending champion
Scottie Scheffler (won 2025 at Royal Portrush)
Last Open here
2017, won by Jordan Spieth
The Favourites
Scottie Scheffler heads the market as he chases back-to-back Claret Jugs. Rory McIlroy is the clear second favourite. The prices below are best available across major bookmakers as of 24 June 2026 and will shorten as the event nears, so always confirm the live price before betting.
Player
Outright odds (24 Jun 2026)
Scottie Scheffler
9/2
Rory McIlroy
7/1
Jon Rahm
14/1
Tommy Fleetwood
16/1
Xander Schauffele
16/1
Ludvig Aberg
16/1
Bryson DeChambeau
20/1
Compare these against the live board on our golf odds page before you commit, since each-way terms differ between firms.
The Irish Challenge
This is where Irish punters earn their weekend. Rory McIlroy at 7/1 is the obvious anchor. He finished tied seventh at Portrush in 2025 and tied fourth the last time the Open visited Birkdale in 2017, and his low ball flight holds up when the wind comes off the Irish Sea.
Shane Lowry at 33/1 is the value play for the heart. The 2019 champion at Portrush thrives in heavy weather, and a forecast with teeth would shorten him fast. Tom McKibbin, the young Antrim man now on LIV, is a 100/1 outsider whose power suits the par fives. Padraig Harrington, a sentimental 250/1, won here in 2008 and knows every dune. For the wider field and each-way maths, our weekly golf betting tips track who is rounding into form.
How Royal Birkdale Shapes the Bet
Royal Birkdale is one of the fairer Open venues. The fairways sit in valleys between the dunes, so a well struck drive tends to gather into play rather than kick into trouble. That rewards iron play and patience over raw luck off the tee.
Wind is the variable that decides everything on this coast. Players who flight the ball down and control spin gain a real edge when the gusts arrive. The greens run true, which helps a confident putter, and the pot bunkers are severe enough that avoiding them is half the battle. So the profile that wins here is a complete ball-striker with sharp approach numbers and a calm head, not just a bomber. For the broader strategy, see our golf betting guide.
Our Picks
Here is where we land, with the reasoning and the risk on each.
Outright: Rory McIlroy (7/1). The course fits his eye, the form is there, and home support at Birkdale lifts him. The risk is the same as always, a stray driver and a hot middle round he cannot quite finish.
Each-way: Shane Lowry (33/1). Five places at a quarter the odds turns a Lowry top five into a tidy return. He needs wind to bring the field back, and a calm week blunts his edge.
Dark horse: Tommy Fleetwood (16/1). A Southport native chasing a first major on home links is a story the market knows, but the price still holds if you fancy the narrative. The risk is the major monkey on his back.
Stake small on the outright, lean your bankroll toward the each-way, and shop prices between firms. Odds quoted are from 24 June 2026 and will move. 18+. Bet responsibly. GambleAware.
The Open 2026 Betting FAQ
When is The Open 2026?
The 154th Open Championship runs from Thursday 16 to Sunday 19 July 2026 at Royal Birkdale in Southport, England.
Who is the favourite to win The Open 2026?
Scottie Scheffler is the outright favourite at around 9/2 as of 24 June 2026, with Rory McIlroy the second choice near 7/1. Prices move daily, so check a live board before betting.
What are Shane Lowry’s odds for The Open 2026?
Shane Lowry was around 33/1 as of 24 June 2026. As the 2019 champion who handles heavy weather well, he is a popular each-way pick if the forecast turns.
Has Royal Birkdale hosted The Open before?
Yes. The 2026 edition is the 11th Open at Royal Birkdale. Jordan Spieth won the last one there in 2017, and Padraig Harrington won in 2008.
What is each-way betting on The Open?
An each-way bet is two bets: one on the player to win and one to place. For The Open many firms pay five places at a quarter of the odds, though terms vary, so a top-five finish still returns a profit even if your pick does not win.
US Open 2026 Predictions: Odds, Irish Hopes and Best Bets
The 126th US Open starts on Thursday at Shinnecock Hills, and the Irish interest is genuine. Rory McIlroy arrives as a 12/1 second favourite chasing a second US Open title, with Shane Lowry, Pádraig Harrington, Séamus Power and Tom McKibbin all in the field. Here is how the card looks, who the course suits, and where we think the value sits.
US Open 2026: the essentials
Shinnecock hosts the US Open for a sixth time. It is one of the hardest tests in the game. Across the five previous US Opens played here, only three players have ever finished a championship under par, so par is a good score and patience pays.
Detail
Info
Dates
18 to 21 June 2026
Venue
Shinnecock Hills Golf Club
Location
Southampton, New York
Par
70
Yardage
Around 7,440 yards
Format
72-hole strokeplay
Defending champion
J.J. Spaun (2025, Oakmont)
The favourites
Scottie Scheffler is the clear, lone favourite. Rory McIlroy heads the chasing pack. The outright prices below are from FanDuel as reported by CBS Sports on 16 to 17 June 2026 and will have shifted by the time you read this.
Player
Outright odds
Scottie Scheffler
11/2
Rory McIlroy
12/1
Jon Rahm
13/1
Xander Schauffele
18/1
Tommy Fleetwood
20/1
Matt Fitzpatrick
20/1
Ludvig Åberg
22/1
Cameron Young
22/1
Bryson DeChambeau
33/1
Brooks Koepka
35/1
For a fuller market and to compare prices across books, see our golf odds page.
The Irish challenge
Rory McIlroy (12/1). McIlroy completed the career Grand Slam at the 2025 Masters and arrives in strong form. He won this championship back in 2011 at Congressional. The question at Shinnecock is the same one that follows him at every US Open, whether the driver stays in play on a course that punishes a miss. Class and motivation say back him. We prefer him each-way rather than to win outright.
Shane Lowry. The 2019 Open champion is one of the best wind players in the field, and an exposed links-style test in a sea breeze suits him. The caveat is a quiet 2026 without a win, so this is a place play on the each-way market rather than a confident outright call.
Pádraig Harrington. Three major titles and still competitive this week, in the field on exemption. A realistic line is making the cut and enjoying the odd charge rather than genuine contention over 72 holes.
Séamus Power. The Waterford man can climb a leaderboard when his irons are sharp. Form has not been at its peak, so keep stakes small if you fancy a sentimental flutter.
Tom McKibbin. Now playing on LIV Golf with Legion XIII, the young Northern Irishman earned his major exemptions with a big 2025 on the Asian Tour. He has the length, but he is unproven at this level, so treat any bet as a small outright dart.
How Shinnecock Hills shapes the bet
Shinnecock is a par-70 links-style course with few trees, thick fescue rough, and fast, canted greens guarded by false fronts. It rewards driving accuracy and precise iron play far more than raw distance. Bombers do not get the usual edge here, because finding the short grass off the tee and controlling the ball into firm greens matters more. Lag putting and patience separate the contenders. That profile points toward accurate ball-strikers who keep big numbers off the card.
Our picks
Headline pick: Scottie Scheffler, 11/2. His accuracy and iron play are exactly what this course asks for. The risk is the short price and a slightly quieter run by his own high standards, but he is favourite for good reason.
Each-way value: Rory McIlroy, 12/1. The class is obvious and the motivation never higher. The caveat is the driving-accuracy demand and a long history of US Open near-misses, so the each-way terms protect you if he contends without closing.
Course-fit pick: Matt Fitzpatrick, 20/1. He won the 2022 US Open at Brookline on a similarly precision-first test and ranks among the straightest drivers in the field. The risk is whether he makes enough birdies if scoring opens up.
Dark horse, Irish each-way: Shane Lowry. Links pedigree and wind tolerance fit Shinnecock well. The caveat is a flat 2026, so take the place terms rather than backing him to win. For more selections through the season, see our golf betting tips.
Frequently asked questions
When is the 2026 US Open?
It runs from 18 to 21 June 2026 at Shinnecock Hills in Southampton, New York.
Who is the favourite?
Scottie Scheffler, priced around 11/2 with FanDuel as of 17 June 2026.
Which Irish players are in the field?
Rory McIlroy, Shane Lowry, Pádraig Harrington, Séamus Power and Tom McKibbin.